Very good mate, I enjoyed that! I'm not sure about Sanchez, although you follow Spanish politics more closely than I do. My reasoning is that end of 2026, we get those midterms in the US, and if they go very badly for Maga, they may do something mad. The EUs Readiness Roadmap 2030 has 2027 as a key date for a reason, right? When Trump was elected, the left in Canada, with Carney, and in Australia, with Albanese, came back from the dead, so could he try to hang on for a similar thing? Dr Clarkson has suggested Maga will say Congress is illegitimate, votes rigged, etc...and may even close it down. So gives Sanchez a motivation to hang on a little longer...call the election as that kind of nonsense exploded?
I think that there was more to Pierre Poilievre's defeat by Mark Carney than Donald Trump and the tariff war Trump launched, although that was certainly a big piece of it. Poilievre was good at identifying voters' pain points, but his angry man persona just doesn't go over well with Canadian voters and even within his own party it seems.
There's also that time-tested truism about parliamentary seat-rich Ontario voters voting for Liberals in Ottawa when the Tories are running Queen's Park and Doug Ford is still solidly entrenched, three terms in. (Ford also kept himself out of the federal Tory campaign and Poilievre stupidly ignored warnings from old and successful hands, notably Kory Teneycke, about how Poilievre and his old girlfriend Jenni Byrne were running the campaign.)
Yes, 100%! It's really interesting hearing all this, because it gets reduced to the minimum here in Europe. I do think there is some cross-over on that point with Peter Dutton in Aus. Also an angry old man, also lost a race he shold have won, also had nothing to offer but rage...
Except Pierre Poilievre is an angry youngish man of 46 who, because he won the Conservative Party nomination in a formerly safe suburban Ottawa seat at the age of 25, became entitled to a parliamentary pension six years later. Consequently, given Poilievre' years of service in Stephen Harper's cabinet, he can start claiming some handsome pension benefits in 9 years, when he turns 55. Prior to becoming an MP, Poilievre worked for the party, and has virtually no private sector work experience. Dutton is about a decade older than Poilievre, but I gather, he was a police officer before entering politics.
Very good mate, I enjoyed that! I'm not sure about Sanchez, although you follow Spanish politics more closely than I do. My reasoning is that end of 2026, we get those midterms in the US, and if they go very badly for Maga, they may do something mad. The EUs Readiness Roadmap 2030 has 2027 as a key date for a reason, right? When Trump was elected, the left in Canada, with Carney, and in Australia, with Albanese, came back from the dead, so could he try to hang on for a similar thing? Dr Clarkson has suggested Maga will say Congress is illegitimate, votes rigged, etc...and may even close it down. So gives Sanchez a motivation to hang on a little longer...call the election as that kind of nonsense exploded?
I think that there was more to Pierre Poilievre's defeat by Mark Carney than Donald Trump and the tariff war Trump launched, although that was certainly a big piece of it. Poilievre was good at identifying voters' pain points, but his angry man persona just doesn't go over well with Canadian voters and even within his own party it seems.
There's also that time-tested truism about parliamentary seat-rich Ontario voters voting for Liberals in Ottawa when the Tories are running Queen's Park and Doug Ford is still solidly entrenched, three terms in. (Ford also kept himself out of the federal Tory campaign and Poilievre stupidly ignored warnings from old and successful hands, notably Kory Teneycke, about how Poilievre and his old girlfriend Jenni Byrne were running the campaign.)
Yes, 100%! It's really interesting hearing all this, because it gets reduced to the minimum here in Europe. I do think there is some cross-over on that point with Peter Dutton in Aus. Also an angry old man, also lost a race he shold have won, also had nothing to offer but rage...
Except Pierre Poilievre is an angry youngish man of 46 who, because he won the Conservative Party nomination in a formerly safe suburban Ottawa seat at the age of 25, became entitled to a parliamentary pension six years later. Consequently, given Poilievre' years of service in Stephen Harper's cabinet, he can start claiming some handsome pension benefits in 9 years, when he turns 55. Prior to becoming an MP, Poilievre worked for the party, and has virtually no private sector work experience. Dutton is about a decade older than Poilievre, but I gather, he was a police officer before entering politics.